Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 188.787086 218.620181 252.751757 294.933483 345.995708 406.230054 483.284980
2025-08-31 146.916938 183.961782 230.657518 294.745502 381.852186 498.254228 669.288312
2025-09-07 125.476098 165.721488 219.977873 300.246893 419.116600 593.945049 881.061983
2025-09-14 105.834855 145.256043 201.069136 288.395890 426.485614 645.498925 1039.334728
2025-09-21 94.233322 133.744190 192.151010 288.245403 449.614824 724.339168 1263.715657
2025-09-28 85.669766 125.219520 185.958287 290.508720 476.023498 813.543133 1534.878024
2025-10-05 81.930223 123.372720 189.546047 308.915400 533.419613 972.270132 2003.149749
2025-10-12 78.328247 121.160074 192.017598 325.490414 590.651895 1146.067819 2579.339267
2025-10-19 72.181557 113.980585 185.050343 323.543180 610.948013 1247.756988 3025.612530
2025-10-26 68.517554 110.542797 184.075866 332.612599 655.663739 1416.924654 3739.382247
2025-11-02 64.508597 106.043017 180.569777 335.996169 688.624585 1567.948016 4485.347875
2025-11-09 60.880479 101.831644 177.055667 338.723282 720.610968 1726.726250 5356.828325
2025-11-16 56.612374 96.424325 171.378126 337.683159 747.939137 1895.901733 6449.035949
2025-11-23 52.829370 91.593128 166.365131 337.619471 779.008794 2093.187393 7858.324571
2025-11-30 50.120879 88.497743 164.402436 344.116811 829.342982 2374.497534 9964.586232
2025-12-07 45.855449 81.941255 154.503222 330.137682 819.427405 2451.072599 11134.738921
2025-12-14 43.232949 78.390168 150.528622 329.960307 849.749259 2687.646630 13550.913819
2025-12-21 41.094854 75.605674 147.867341 332.628460 889.725349 2983.837615 16851.095203
2025-12-28 40.531466 75.990001 152.224206 354.355066 997.384863 3625.912757 24112.030737
2026-01-04 39.788730 75.914470 155.521400 373.960379 1105.572281 4354.045632 34353.505972
2026-01-11 37.703569 72.761780 151.274268 371.655195 1135.703878 4726.294145 42190.535538
2026-01-18 36.553852 71.545922 151.498668 382.396139 1218.765217 5449.200153 57544.950099
2026-01-25 35.106897 69.540346 149.571367 386.406121 1277.613123 6090.206900 75302.254810